Finals Week 1 Preview (w/ Handsome Hammy G)
STORM v MANLY
The minor premiers ‘Sunshine Coast Storm’ have won their last 9 matches at Sunshine Coast Stadium and go into tonight’s match warm favourites. (STORM $1.39).
However the last time they played a final without Cameron Smith, they lost 40-0… to Manly!!! (SEA EAGLES $3.10).
With the form of these two sides, it’s got all the makings of a humdinger. Tipping a tight one here – I don’t mind either side to win by 6 or less at $3.16. (MARGIN BETTING > TRI BET > EITHER TEAM BY 6 OR LESS).
TRYSCORER
Justin Olam has had a fill up against Manly in recent times. He has scored at least twice in 3 of his last 4 against the Sea Eagles (including 2 hat tricks). $2.40 Anytime Try Scorer, or $9 to score 2 or more.
ROOSTERS v TITANS
The Titans haven’t beaten the Roosters since 2016. Whilst the Roosters haven’t been at their best, they should still be too good for the Gold Coast who (bar Newcastle) haven’t beaten a team higher than them on the ladder this year.
ROOSTERS $1.25
TITANS $4
TRYSCORERS
David Fifita ($3.10) scored 2 off the bench last week. This week he will most likely play on the same edge as makeshift centre Adam Keighran.
Angus Chrichton and Sitili Toupouniua keep finding ways to score. Both paying $3 to score at any time.
SGM
Could we see a week 1 finals miracle where all 3 of these backrowers score?
Fifita/Chrichton/Toupouniua = $26.75
PENRITH v SOUTHS
The Panthers ($1.28) put 50 on Souths ($3.75) earlier this season and knocked them off again about a month ago.
Can’t see the Panthers losing this one.
FIRST TRYSCORER
How’s this for a stat – the Panthers have conceded the first try in their last 10 finals appearances.
With that in mind – I’m looking at Bunnies in the First Try scorer market tonight.
Can’t argue with $10 for the leading try scorer in the regular season Alex Johnston.
Don’t mind the look of my old mate Dane Gagai at $21 for some value. Has scored in 4 of his last 6 v the Panthers.
PARRAMATTA v NEWCASTLE
After breaking the Storm’s streak a few weeks ago, the Eels rested Moses and Gutho last week and Penrith pumped them. They’ve also lost their last 3 finals.
Toss of the coin, but a bit of value in the Knights H2H price. Happy to roll with Knights at the line +7.5.
TRY SCORER
Someone call the dentist, because Kalyn Ponga is running around at $2.30.
Gamble responsibly,
Handsome Hammy G
Categories
